Social Media Analytics: Revolutionizing Marketing Campaign Management

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Social media are the intelligence powering modern marketing. Not only is the Twittersphere dominated by marketers keen on the promotional power of social channels, but it seems everybody in the marketing profession everywhere is obsessed with this new world of ubiquitous chitchat.

Everybody comments on social media analytics, so what I’m saying here isn’t news to most of you. But I recently stopped to ponder what’s truly disruptive about social media’s role in the modern economy. And then it hit me. From the dawn of marketing, we’ve always hunted and gathered customer intelligence, using massive amounts of sweat equity to bag the beast. Before social media emerged, market research was almost always labor-intensive. No matter who you were — enterprise, agency, consultant, analyst, etc. — you had to put your nose to the proverbial research grindstone. You conducted panels, surveys, focus groups, interviews, field studies, usability testing, case studies, literature searches, and the like. Most of the intelligence-gathering burden was on you, with the subject of your studies — the customer — either putting in less effort or not having to lift a finger at all.

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The Year Ahead In Next Best Action? Here's The Next Best Thing To A Crystal Ball!

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Next best action is the proving ground for advanced analytics and big data; it’s also the infrastructure that provides analytics- and rule-driven guidance across one or more customer-facing touchpoints. You can find next best action at the heart of multichannel customer relationship management (CRM) initiatives everywhere. It’s even present in a growing range of back-office business processes such as order fulfillment and supply chain management.

Next best action will continue to develop as an overarching business technology initiative for many companies in the coming year. The market is emerging and is becoming aware of itself as a substantial new niche, in much the same way that the Hadoop market flowered in the past year.

Here are some of the highlights that Forrester anticipates in the next best action arena in 2012:

  • The next-best-action market will continue to coalesce around core solution capabilities. Traditionally, next best action has been a capability embedded in your customer service, marketing, and other CRM applications. That remains the heart of the next-best-action solution market. However, the past several years have seen the development of a niche for next-best-action standalone infrastructure that you may deploy in conjunction with various CRM and back-office applications. In 2012, we will see more vendors converge on the next-best-action arena from various backgrounds, including predictive analytics, business process management (BPM), business rules management (BRM), complex event processing (CEP), decision automation, recommendation engine, and social graph analysis. Many established vendors will repackage and reposition their offerings in these segments under the banner of next best action in order to address hot new solution areas, including multichannel offer targeting, marketing campaign automation, and customer experience optimization.
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The Year Ahead In Advanced Analytics? Advances on All Fronts!

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Advanced analytics was the hot new frontier of business intelligence (BI) in 2011. The growing vogue for “data science” stemmed in part from many users’ desire to take their BI investments to the next level of sophistication, leveraging multivariate statistical analysis, data mining, and predictive modeling into powerful new applications for customer relationship management (CRM) and back-office business processes.

Business investments in advanced analytics will continue to deepen in the coming year. Here are some of the highlights that Forrester anticipates in this vibrant field in 2012:

  • Open-source platforms will expand their footprint in advanced analytics. As the enterprise Hadoop market continues to mature and many companies deploy their clusters for the most demanding analytical challenges, data scientists will begin to migrate toward this new, open source-centric platform. At the same time, enterprise adoption of the open-source R language will grow in 2012, and we’ll see greater industry convergence between Hadoop and R, especially as analytics tool vendors integrate both technologies tightly into their offerings.
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The Year Ahead In Big Data? Big, Cool, New Stuff Looms Large!

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Big data was inescapable in 2011. Without a doubt, it was the paramount banner story in data management, advanced analytics, and business intelligence (BI). The hype has been relentless, but it’s been driven by substantial innovations on many fronts.

The big data mania will intensify even further in the coming year. Here are some of the highlights that Forrester foresees in this exciting space in 2012:

  • Enterprise Hadoop deployments will expand at a rapid clip. Many enterprises have spent the past year or two kicking the tires of Hadoop, the emerging open source approach for scaling data analytics into the stratosphere of petabyte volumes, real-time velocities, and polystructured varieties. The market for enterprise-grade Hadoop solutions has grown by leaps and bounds and now includes several dozen vendors. Users all over the world and in most industries have invested aggressively in the technology and stand poised to bring their Hadoop clusters on line in the coming year. The size of the in-deployment clusters will almost certainly grow at least tenfold in 2012 as companies roll new data sources, new analytic challenges, and new business applications into their Hadoop initiatives.
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Data Scientist: Is This Really Science Or Just Pretension?

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Every true scientist must also be a type of data scientist, although not all self-proclaimed data scientists are in fact true scientists.

True science is nothing without observational data. Without a fine-grained ability to sift, sort, structure, categorize, analyze, and present data, the scientist can’t bring coherence to their inquiry into the factual substrate of reality. Just as critical, a scientist who hasn’t drilled down into the heart of their data can’t effectively present or defend their findings.

Fundamentally, science is a collaborative activity of building and testing interpretive frameworks through controlled observation. At the heart of any science are the “controls” that help you isolate the key explanatory factors from those with little or no impact on the dependent variables of greatest interest. All branches of science rely on logical controls, such as adhering to the core scientific methods of hypothesis, measurement, and verification, as vetted through community controls such as peer review, refereed journals, and the like. Some branches of science, such as chemistry, rely largely on experimental controls. Some, such as astronomy, rely on the controls embedded in powerful instrumentation like space telescopes. Still others, such as the social sciences, may use experimental methods but rely principally on field observation and on statistical methods for finding correlations in complex behavioral data.

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Data Scientist: Do You Truly Need Big Data?

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Data science has historically had to content itself with mere samples. Few data scientists have had the luxury of being able amass petabytes of data on every relevant variable of every entity in the population under study.

The big data revolution is making that constraint a thing of the past. Think of this new paradigm as “whole-population analytics,” rather than simply the ability to pivot, drill, and crunch into larger data sets. Over time, as the world evolves toward massively parallel approaches such as Hadoop, we will be able to do true 360-degree analysis. For example, as more of the world’s population takes to social networking and conducts more of its lives in public online forums, we will all have comprehensive, current, and detailed market intelligence on every demographic available as if it were a public resource. As the price of storage, processing, and bandwidth continue their inexorable decline, data scientists will be able to keep the entire population of all relevant polystructured information under their algorithmic microscopes, rather than have to rely on minimal samples, subsets, or other slivers.

Clearly, the big data revolution is fostering a powerful new type of data science. Having more comprehensive data sets at our disposal will enable more fine-grained long-tail analysis, microsegmentation, next best action, customer experience optimization, and digital marketing applications. It is speeding answers to any business question that requires detailed, interactive, multidimensional statistical analysis; aggregation, correlation, and analysis of historical and current data; modeling and simulation, what-if analysis, and forecasting of alternative future states; and semantic exploration of unstructured data, streaming information, and multimedia.

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Data Scientist: Which Adjacent Roles Are Central?

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Data scientists don’t work in isolation. As with any scientists, they rely on a wide range of people in adjacent roles to help them do their jobs as effectively as possible.

Think about science generally. In the historical development of modern science, the specialization of roles continues to proliferate. But today’s professional science establishment is a relatively recent phenomenon. Back in the Middle Ages — and even well into the modern era — scientists often had to be jacks of all trades in order to carry on their investigations. Until the 19th century, there were few professional scientists, research universities, or commercial labs. There were no eager, underpaid graduate students to press into service. Until the 20th century, most professional scientists had to build and maintain their own laboratories, invent and calibrate their own instruments, painstakingly record their own observations, and concoct and promote their own theories.

Today’s professional scientists — of which data scientists are a key category — have it much easier. Whether they work with particle accelerators or linear regression models, scientists know they don’t need to be their own chief cooks and bottle washers. They can make science their day job and rely on a host of others for all of the necessary supporting tools and infrastructure. We find the following broad division of labor in all of today’s scientific disciplines, including data science:

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Data Scientist: What Skills Does It Require?

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Data scientists are a curious breed. The term encompasses a wide range of specialties, all of which rely on statistical algorithms and interactive exploration tools to uncover nonobvious patterns in observational data.

Who belongs in this category? Clearly, the “quants” are fundamental. Anybody who builds multivariate statistical models, regardless of the tool they use, might call themselves a data scientist. Likewise, data mining specialists who look for hidden patterns in historical data sets — structured, unstructured, or some blend of diverse data types — may certainly use the term. Furthermore, a predictive modeler or any analyst who builds fact-based what-if simulations is a data scientist par excellence. We should also include anybody who specializes in constraint-based optimization, natural language processing, behavioral analytics, operations research, semantic analysis, sentiment analysis, and social network analysis.

But these jobs are only one-half of the data-science equation. The “suits” are also fundamental. Any business domain specialist who works with any of the tools and approaches listed above may consider him- or herself a data scientist. In fact, if one and the same person is a black belt in SAS, SPSS, R, or other statistical tools, and also an expert in marketing, customer service, finance, supply chain, or other business specialties, they are a data scientist par excellence.

Both of these skill sets are fundamental to high-quality data science. Lacking statistical expertise, you can’t understand which are the most appropriate algorithms and approaches to make the foundation of your statistical models. Lacking business domain expertise, you can’t identify the most valid variables and appropriate data sets to build into your models around.

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Data Scientist: Important New Role Or Trendy Job-Title Inflation?

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The big data universe revolves around this seemingly new role called “data scientist.” For IT professionals who are just now beginning to explore big data, the notion of a data scientist may seem a bit trendy, hence suspect. How does it differ from such familiar jobs as statistical analyst, data miner, predictive modeler, and content analytics specialist?

Yes, data scientist is a trendy new job title to emboss on your business card. But it’s also a very useful new term for referring to a wide range of advanced analytics functions that heretofore have had no consensus category label. The term recognizes that advanced analytics developers, like scientists generally, spend their careers exploring new data for powerful insights that may not be obvious on first glance.

Indeed, one might define a data scientist as someone who uses statistical algorithms and interactive exploration tools to uncover nonobvious patterns in observational data. This definition is broad enough to encompass a wide range of data scientists doing various types of analyses against many data types. The tools may be usable by any intelligent person, or they may be so specialized and abstruse that you practically need a Ph.D. in higher mathematics to get started. The underlying algorithms may be limited to the most common multivariate regression approaches or may include the latest advances in artificial intelligence and machine learning. The exploration may be highly visual, or it may also involve trial-and-error iteration through complex statistical models.

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The ROI Of Next Best Action: Measuring The Lift From Improved Customer Experience

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Customer experience is becoming the new currency of business success. If you make quality of experience the centerpiece of your customer relationship management (CRM) strategy, you will be creating a sustainable business asset of substantial value.

Customer experience has qualitative and quantitative returns, as I will discuss next month at Forrester’s Business Process (BP) Forum. For a detailed discussion of customer experience optimization, also take a look at this recent Forrester report that I authored. You can measure the qualitative business return on customer experience in, dare I say it, love. Hopefully, your customers love the multichannel experience you provide, and, as a consequence, seek to deepen and extend the relationship. The concomitant of that is the quantitative return, summed up by a single word: money. If you’re making customers happy, hopefully that translates into sales, profits, renewals, referrals, and other bottom-line boosts.

That’s all well and good, but how can you directly translate love — i.e., quality of experience — into money, measure the impact, and calculate the return on your investment in experience-boosting technologies?

CRM next best action platforms are the key to realizing this promise. CRM next best action environments shape experience through embedded analytics that guide all interactions and offers across all customer-facing channels, processes, and roles. In addition to predictive analytics and business rules management systems, enterprises often incorporate into their next best action initiatives such experience-boosting investments in decision automation, sentiment analysis, conversation management, dynamic case management, knowledge management, and social networking.

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