A call for evidence: how hard has the online video ad market been hit?

It's time to finally address the elephant in the room. I've been writing for several years about the power of online video -- specifically the catalytic effect of online TV shows -- to change consumer behavior and the TV consumption model. Then this recession got in the way.

We're busily examining the ways that this will effect everything we cover, whether devices, services and consumer sentiment. But one specific area I want to collect evidence on is the question of online video advertising. For the last year, the rise in spending has been tremendous. The rise of Hulu.com as a destination site as well as a video syndicator plus while a few minor things like YouTube finally tinkering with a viable (read: harder to litigate against) ad model and the rise of Hulu+CBS aggregators like TV.com or Fancast have meant a flood of new inventory, most of it premium.

But when an economy gets as bad as this one, the only thing more predictable than US Democrats trying to insert protectionist trade policies into a stimulus bill is that advertisers will cut ad spend across the board. This excellent and gritty piece from Broadcasting & Cable yesterday discusses the expected bloodbath in the US broadcast upfronts later this year. That has to affect online video ad spend, simply because a lot of online TV show sponsorship is presold in upfront bundles each year (think Sprint + Heroes).

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Convenience is the key to future media technologies

I want to share with you the link to my recent Forrester Research Webinar called Why Convenience is King. This free webinar is the kind of thing we usually reserve for clients only, but it's a big idea and we're eager to share it with the world. It includes a very detailed description of our Convenience Quotient methodology, something that is getting great traction among our clients and will form the backbone of much of our research for the next few years -- starting with media devices since that's what I cover, as well as other consumer technology products (hence this post on this blog). Yet many of my colleagues in financial services, retail, automotive, and even healthcare are working to apply the method to their own research areas. Should create a very fertile field of research. To stay on top of it, click through to the free replay of the Webinar.

Why Convenience Is King - creating winning product strategies

On demand Forrester Webinar available. Original air date: Jan 29, 2009.

To successfully launch or revamp products or services, you must keep convenience high. Achieving high levels of convenience requires offering compelling benefits while reducing barriers to consumer use. Principal Analyst James McQuivey explains how to identify the specific improvements required to increase the benefits or decrease the barriers that stand in the way of consumers. James covers:

- Why Convenience is King
- How the Convenience Quotient can guide your strategy
- What Forrester can do to increase your CQ

Click here to play now.

Keeping Score, Big Four Q4 Online Ad Revenues

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For those keeping score, calendar Q4 advertising revenues looked like this for the Big Four online players:

  • Google - up 18%. Own sites up 22%
  • Yahoo - flat. Own sites up 3%. Replaced its CEO.
  • Microsoft - up 7%. New online head.
  • AOL - down 18%. Replaced its head ad exec.

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Competing With Free: How to Build the Paid Content Business Model

Building on Chris Anderson’s Free: What Can You Charge For?

Forrester’s 2009 B2C eCommerce Platform Wave


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007 1/2 - License to drive a 29 seat bus

Today I went to renew my driver's license.

The Japanese system is radically different from the system in my home country. Back in the UK, we take a test at the age of 17 and then the Driver And Vehicle Licensing Authority (DVLA) lets us drive until we're well past retirement age with no further testing or hoops to jump through. The Japanese system of periodic checks always seemed more sensible to me.

Since I've avoided any accidents or offenses in the last two years, I qualify for a "GOLD" license, which is valid for five years. It wasn't terribly hard for me to avoid prangs and misdemeanors -- I don't think I've driven a car on more than a dozen occasions in the last two years.

Drivers_license_personal_data_conce

The latest generation Japanese driver's license features an IC chip that contains some personal data (the family register location). By encoding this information and not displaying it, the Japanese authorities hope to protect sensitive information and reduce the risk of identity theft. If you want to see the data that's stored on your card, you can view it by using a special kiosk at the license renewal center. However, you will need to remember your 8 digit PIN. (Good luck with that).

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Sooperbowlin' 2009 XXVII

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Who cares about the ads? GoDaddy still promising porn.

Awww that wasn't a fumble. Warner's Hall of Fame slot may have slipped thru his fingers. But a great, great game.

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Sooperbowlin' 2009 XXVI

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OK, it's now another officially great game. Two in a row?

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Sooperbowlin' 2009 XXV

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Cute GE wind spot. McGruber - does anyone actually remember that routine? let alone the original show? - is sponsored by Pepsi. Wotta surprise.

Madden: "This is big; this is big." No duh. Under three minutes and 4 points. 'zona scores!

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