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Posted by Alexander Peters, Ph.D. on December 27, 2012
It is end of the year and time for predictions. Mine are rather intuitive, with a few obvious implications for CIOs:
First, the industry will continue to push innovation to businesses faster than businesses can absorb. In addition to customer obsessions — BOYD and tablets, social business processes, cloud computing, machine-to-machine applications, and many others — CIOs will continue to struggle with the usual suspects: huge expectations of technology from business stakeholders, cost reductions, people’s longer-than-expected learning curves, skills shortages, immature management practices, and a few more:
Second, senior executives will spend more time on technology-related decisions. McKinsey and IBM say so — and so it will be. The implication for CIOs is that in addition to making the right politics and actively and regularly interacting with senior board members, they will need to prepare for the role of a business technology leader, meaning that they will increasingly spend time managing the seven fundamental technology factors that board members need to actively direct and monitor:
And third, organizations will increasingly need business technology (BT) leadership. BT leadership is not a one-size-fits-all role, and its multiple facets evolve as a reflection of the business models and environment dynamics in which it acts. CIOs are definitely hot candidates, but if they don’t take the role, somebody else will. We have seen, again and again, COOs, CMOs, or senior business process executives leading the transition of their organizations from the stable structures of the past to the new normal state of digital disruption. But these situations are rather suboptimal exceptions rather than the rule, as BT leadership takes more than a full-time equivalent. In 2013 we will see more CIOs in the BT leader role and becoming:
These predictions are neither disruptive nor radical, and probably recyclable in the years to come. They reflect the continuous state of transition that the CIO profession is undergoing. For CIOs striving to become BT leaders, 2013 will be an average year — better than 2012 and worse than 2014.
Happy Holidays and Happy New Year 2013!
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